Supreme Court To Lower Courts: Ignore Actual Binding Precedent, Follow Our Unexplained Shadow Docket Vibes Instead

from the john-roberts,-court-jester dept

The Supreme Court’s shadow docket has become a lawless mess. The justices are issuing extremely consequential rulings with either no explanation at all, or with barely a paragraph of reasoning. No full briefing. No oral arguments. Just vibes-based constitutional law that lower courts are somehow supposed to follow.

Now the Court has made this chaos worse by essentially telling lower courts to treat these half-baked emergency rulings as more important than actual binding precedent.

If you’re a district court judge, what do you do? Follow the actual binding precedent, or guess at what the Supreme Court’s vibes-based constitutional law might mean?

Earlier this week, we wrote about a district court judge who faced this impossible situation. She was bound by the Supreme Court’s 1935 precedent in Humphrey’s Executor, which clearly states that Presidents cannot fire the heads of independent agencies like FTC Commissioners (in Humphrey’s it’s literally about the firing of an FTC Commissioner). That’s still good law—the Court has never officially overturned it.

But Trump fired FTC commissioners anyway, creating the exact same legal question that Humphrey’s already answered. Recent Supreme Court rulings have suggested the Court might be willing to gut independent agencies, but without actually overturning the controlling precedent. The judge did what judges are supposed to do: follow binding precedent until the Supreme Court clearly overrules it.

Yesterday’s ruling in a separate case makes this impossible situation even worse. The Supreme Court issued another barely-explained shadow docket ruling that essentially scolds lower courts for following actual precedent instead of reading the tea leaves of emergency orders.

The case, Trump v. Boyle, involves Trump’s firing of Consumer Product Safety Commission (CPSC) commissioners. This follows a similar shadow docket ruling in May about the National Labor Relations Board (NLRB) and Merit Systems Protection Board (MSPB). In all these cases, lower courts applied existing law and ruled that the President lacks the power to fire these officials.

Rather than take up these cases properly with full briefing and oral arguments, the Supreme Court just waves its hand and declares that agencies like the CPSC and NLRB “aren’t really independent” because some of their functions involve executive power. Therefore, Trump can fire them.

There might be reasonable constitutional arguments for this position. We’ll never know, because the Court is making these determinations without bothering to hear them. The May ruling essentially said: “We haven’t really looked into this, but we’re pretty sure we’d side with Trump if we did.”

It’s constitutional law by vibes, and it leaves lower courts in an impossible position.

On one hand: Humphrey’s Executor, a clear binding precedent. On the other: Wilcox, a half-baked shadow docket ruling that essentially says “trust us, we’d probably overturn this if we bothered to think about it.”

In yesterday’s CPSC case, the Court’s two-paragraph ruling is openly dismissive of lower courts trying to follow actual law. The tone essentially asks: “Why aren’t you treating our unexplained emergency order as more important than binding precedent?”

Although our interim orders are not conclusive as to the merits, they inform how a court should exercise its equitable discretion in like cases. The stay we issued in Wilcox reflected “our judgment that the Government faces greater risk of harm from an order allowing a removed officer to continue exercising the executive power than a wrongfully removed officer faces from being unable to perform her statutory duty.” Ibid. (slip op., at 1). The same is true on the facts presented here, where the Consumer Product Safety Commission exercises executive power in a similar manner as the National Labor Relations Board, and the case does not otherwise differ from Wilcox in any pertinent respect.

Even Justice Kavanaugh—who clearly wants to gut independent agencies—thinks this process is bonkers. In his concurrence, he essentially says: “Look, if we’re going to overturn major precedents, maybe we should actually, you know, hear arguments about it?”

When an emergency application turns on whether this Court will narrow or overrule a precedent, and there is at least a fair prospect (not certainty, but at least some reasonable prospect) that we will do so, the better practice often may be to both grant a stay and grant certiorari before judgment.

Kavanaugh gets the core problem: You can’t run a legal system on winks and nudges. Either Humphrey’s is good law or it isn’t. Either Presidents can fire independent commissioners or they can’t. You can’t just leave everyone guessing.

In those unusual circumstances, if we grant a stay but do not also grant certiorari before judgment, we may leave the lower courts and affected parties with extended uncertainty and confusion about the status of the precedent in question. Moreover, when the question is whether to narrow or overrule one of this Court’s precedents rather than how to resolve an open or disputed question of federal law, further percolation in the lower courts is not particularly useful because lower courts cannot alter or overrule this Court’s precedents. In that situation, the downsides of delay in definitively resolving the status of the precedent sometimes tend to outweigh the benefits of further lower-court consideration.

He’s absolutely right. The Court is playing hide the ball with constitutional law, creating chaos in the lower courts while giving Trump a free pass to ignore congressional statutes.

Justice Kagan’s dissent (joined by Sotomayor and Jackson) cuts to the constitutional heart of the problem: this approach obliterates separation of powers.

The system is supposed to work like this: Congress writes the laws, the President faithfully executes them, and the judiciary determines whether both the laws and the President’s actions are constitutional.

Here, the Court is effectively eliminating two of the three branches (including itself!). Congress deliberately created these agencies as independent to insulate them from political pressure. The Court is saying that doesn’t matter—the President can ignore what Congress wrote. And by doing this through unexplained shadow docket rulings, the judiciary is sawing off its own constitutional branch.

The message is clear: the President can ignore congressional statutes, and we’ll rubber-stamp it without analysis, explanation, or precedential guidance.

That’s not separation of powers. That’s monarchy with judicial blessing.

Here’s Kagan:

In Congress’s view, that structure would better enable the CPSC to achieve its mission—ensuring the safety of consumer products, from toys to appliances—than would a single-party agency under the full control of a single President. The CPSC has thus operated as an independent agency for many decades, as the NLRB and MSPB also did. But this year, on its emergency docket, the majority has rescinded that status. By allowing the President to remove Commissioners for no reason other than their party affiliation, the majority has negated Congress’s choice of agency bipartisanship and independence.

More damning is Kagan’s critique of the Court’s circular reasoning:

And it has accomplished those ends with the scantiest of explanations. The majority’s sole professed basis for today’s stay order is its prior stay order in Wilcox. But Wilcox itself was minimally (and, as I have previously shown, poorly) explained. See 605 U. S., at (KAGAN, J., dissenting) (slip op., at 4–7). It contained one sentence (ignored today) hinting at but not deciding the likelihood of success on the merits, plus two more respecting the “balance [of] the equities.” Id., at (order) (slip op., at 1–2); see id., at __– ___ (KAGAN, J., dissenting) (slip op., at 4–7). So only another under-reasoned emergency order undergirds today’s. Next time, though, the majority will have two (if still under-reasoned) orders to cite. “Truly, this is ‘turtles all the way down.'”_

“Turtles all the way down”—that’s what constitutional law looks like when the Supreme Court abandons its responsibility to explain its reasoning. Each unexplained shadow docket ruling becomes precedent for the next unexplained shadow docket ruling, creating an infinite regression of constitutional nonsense.

This isn’t just bad legal process—it’s the systematic destruction of constitutional government. Instead of three coequal branches with checks and balances, we’re getting an imperial presidency, a neutered Congress, and a Supreme Court that has transformed from constitutional interpreter to Trump’s enabler.

The Court’s shadow docket has become the constitutional equivalent of “because we said so.” That’s not law. That’s authoritarianism with footnotes. And sometimes even the footnotes are missing.

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Comments on “Supreme Court To Lower Courts: Ignore Actual Binding Precedent, Follow Our Unexplained Shadow Docket Vibes Instead”

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Anonymous Coward says:

Lower courts should just keep sending these back up

LOWER COURT: “This is illegal because [mountains of precedent]”
SCOTUS: “No it’s not because oh nooooo I’m going into a tunnel my call is droppinggggggg [making hissing noise] <click>”
LOWER COURT: “Sorry, I didn’t catch that and neither did the other 676 of us it’s still illegal call back when you have a better connection.”

SCOTUS opinions should receive the amount of respect proportional to the effort they put into writing them.

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Anonymous Coward says:

But if they set a new precedent a future president could do the same. This way the current president can gut the infrastructure of governance through illegal firings and appointment of unqualified yes-men while at the same time a future president can be held to the existing precedent and be unable to remove the current appointees to rebuild the organizations.

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Koby (profile) says:

Indepenent

Congress deliberately created these agencies as independent to insulate them from political pressure.

Congress cannot create an independent 4th branch of government. Everyone against the shadow docket ruling keeps falling into this simple logic trap from which they cannot escape. The more you say the word “independent”, the more likely it is that the 1935 court ruling is wrong.

This isn’t just bad legal process—it’s the systematic destruction of constitutional government.

The lower courts COULD simply say “Okay you’re fired, now proceed with the lawsuit. And if you win the entire process then you’re reinstated”. Instead, the lower courts are attempting to usurp power from the executive, and is determining who can and cannot get fired.

Arianity (profile) says:

Re:

Congress cannot create an independent 4th branch of government.

It doesn’t need to, and Humphrey’s Executor explicitly explains this. “independent 4th branch of government” is something you made up. There’s a reason it’s been around for about 90 years.

The more you say the word “independent”, the more likely it is that the 1935 court ruling is wrong.

Saying something doesn’t change how likely or unlikely something is to be wrong. But even if it were wrong, again, it’s still binding precedent until SCOTUS actually bothers to overrule it.

The lower courts COULD simply say “Okay you’re fired, now proceed with the lawsuit. And if you win the entire process then you’re reinstated”.

Legally, no they can’t. They’re bound by precedent. This is essentially saying they could break the law.

That’s not even getting into how injunctions work, which are supposed to preserve the status quo and not enable literally this exact situation.

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Anonymous Coward says:

Re:

The lower courts COULD simply say “Okay you’re fired, now proceed with the lawsuit. And if you win the entire process then you’re reinstated”.

Or SCOTUS could actually explain their thinking. But clearly they’re following the maxim “Better to remain silent and be thought a fool than to speak and to remove all doubt.”

You could learn something from them.

Anonymous Coward says:

This is the result of a long-running conspiracy to destroy any/every regulation that might, in any way, diminish corporate profits. This conspiracy started with the Reagan presidency and is currently centered at the Heritage Foundation, with the operating plan being Project 2025. John Roberts is either a co-conspirator or a collaborator.

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That One Guy (profile) says:

'Going to need you to explicitly spell it out for me.'

Lower courts should stick to ruling on the binding precedent and for any ruling that they expect to be kicked up they can just point out that that’s all they have to work with since they’re not mind readers and SCOTUS isn’t providing any clear directions with their winks and nudges.

Angry and Sad says:

Re:

“I mean I get the supreme court is the supreme court” And that’s fucked up. Has anyone ever stopped to think about how fucked up it is that we even think like that?

They’re in a position of power in a democratic system, and here we are talking about them as if we just got a decree from a King because we apparently hold them above even our elected officials and even above our own eyes about what objective reality is. We should ABSOLUTELY question them just as hard, if not harder, than every single Senator and Congressman on the simple virtue that they’re accountable to nobody and are ripe for stacking and corruption like the current SCOTUS has become.

Arthur Williams says:

Turning the screws

I guess I’ll be the one to say the quiet part out loud. All of these nonsensical SCOTUS decisions backing Trump’s play to become Dear Leader, as they become more blatant, certainly give the impression that somebody is leaning pretty hard on the Chief Justice to make things go according to plan.
One begins to wonder if the name Roberts appears anywhere in the Epstein files, and our mysterious somebody was just waiting for the proper opportunity to make use of them.

That One Guy (profile) says:

Re: Sometimes power-madness and corruption is all the explanation needed

While I certainly wouldn’t rule out someone in the regime having dirt on several SCOTUS justices you don’t even need to go that far when ‘they’re supporting the destruction of the country and everything that makes it worth a damn because that’s what they want too‘ does the trick just nicely.

Angry and Sad says:

More evidence that Judges rule like kings in this country and every. single. judicial seat in federal court should have term limits.

I don’t know why we bothered ceding from England if we then proceeded to give the highest courts in the land to unelected positions of power for life. Especially when the precedent is now for them to simply ignore law and the constitution if the current party in power agrees with them.

jimb (profile) says:

love the Seuss reference...

Not only is the Court eviscerating the Constitutional role of the Congress, but it is ignoring in it’s rulings the strong probability that a truly authoritarian ruler doesn’t need a high court capable of over-riding them, either. So the Court is actively aiding and abetting in the probable future irrelevance of it’s own existence. Wonderful reasoning, Justices. These solons are so enraptured by Trump they discard precedents, reason, and their own future.

Anonymous Coward says:

In general, and in principle, I agree with the idea that certain agencies should be somewhat protected from the prevailing political winds. I mean, isn’t that why we got rid of the spoils system? (and yes, I know that Trump seems to very much want to bring that back)

However, I worry that the situation is more complicated.

From Humphrey’s: “The Federal Trade Commission is an administrative body created by Congress to carry into effect legislative policies embodied in the statute in accordance with the legislative standard therein prescribed, and to perform other specified duties as a legislative or as a judicial aid. Such a body cannot in any proper sense be characterized as an arm or an eye of the executive. Its duties are performed without executive leave, and, in the contemplation of the statute, must be free from executive control.”

Humphrey’s appears to limit itself to agencies that do not carry out an executive function. It also references Myers v US, where it was held that a postmaster could be removed because his position was purely an executive function.

Given this information, it would suggest that if the agencies at issue are found to be purely executive agencies, Myers would be controlling and any limiting language added by Congress would be unconstitutionally impeding the President’s removal power. However, if they are found to be primarily legislative or judicial in nature, then Humphrey’s would appear to be controlling and the removal limiting language would apply.

In addition, there is the issue of the actual statutory text. 15 USC 2053, in establishing the CPSC, includes limiting language similar to 15 USC 41, establishing the FTC. However, 52 USC 30106, establishing the Federal Election Commission, does NOT appear to have similar limiting language. Perhaps others do not as well. Therefore, that opens the possibility for cases, even if the agency is found to be legislative or judicial in nature, where arbitrary removal is permissible simply because Congress never placed any limitations.

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